外媒:JTO反彈14%後賣壓抬頭
AMBCrypto
06-08 04:40
Ai Focus
JTO 短線反彈後,現貨淨流與永續合約資料同步轉弱,外媒認為其上行動能面臨壓力。
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外媒稱,Jito 代幣 JTO 在過去 24 小時一度上漲 14%,推動行情的主要是大筆資金買入。但隨著交易主導權轉向散戶,現貨與衍生性商品市場的數據開始轉弱,短線情緒已從追漲轉向防守。

資金主導權轉向散戶

文章提到,6 月 5 日晚些時候,反映鯨魚與散戶交易差異的指標一度升至 0.139,顯示大額資金明顯佔優。此後該指標持續回落,最新已降至約 -0.014,顯示散戶在市場中的影響力上升。

這項變更也體現在淨流數據上。 6 月 5 日,JTO 仍錄得約 20.5 萬美元淨買入;到次日,淨流已轉為約 86 萬美元淨賣出。文章認為,這說明部分資金在反彈後選擇獲利了結,賣盤開始壓過買盤。

永續合約情緒同步轉弱

外媒指出,空頭情緒不只出現在現貨市場,JTO 永續合約也出現類似變化。截止時,資金費率已降至 -0.0689,意味著市場上空頭合約數量多於多頭。

CoinGlass 數據顯示,JTO 永續合約成交量約為 1.0045 億美元,且賣方佔主導。若賣盤繼續維持高位,前一輪由大額資金推動的漲幅可能面臨回吐壓力。

持倉成長但偏空部位增加

文章也提到,JTO 永續合約未平倉合約在過去 24 小時成長 37%,升至 3,706 萬美元。未平倉合約上升通常意味著更多資金進入市場,但在資金費率為負的情況下,這部分新增部位更可能來自空頭。

外媒據此認為,當前市場的風險收益比已偏向看跌一側,散戶情緒也更傾向於押注回落。若現貨淨賣出與永續合約空頭部位持續擴大,JTO 短線價格將面臨更大下行壓力。

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