web3: 外媒:XRP流動性走低,市場或接近變盤
Coinpaper
07-29 05:03
Ai Focus
外媒稱,XRP波動率收窄、幣安流動性走低,疊加清算與槓桿變化,市場或接近方向選擇。
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外媒稱,XRP近期持續橫盤,價格被壓縮在更窄區間。文章引述 CoinCodex、CryptoQuant 及市場分析師觀點認為,現貨流動性下降、衍生性商品部位重置和資金費率回歸中性,意味著市場可能接近更大的波動。

波動收窄持續出現

報導提到,XRP最新報約 1.05 美元,多空雙方暫時未能形成明顯優勢。過去一段時間,價格反覆在窄幅區間內波動,14 日交易區間也降至較低水準。

文章認為,這類長時間低波動狀態,往往意味著市場正在累積下一階段的方向性力量。但突破究竟向上或向下,現階段仍未被確認。

清算與資金費率回到中性

從衍生性商品數據來看,多頭和空頭近期都多次遭遇清算,槓桿部位反覆被洗出。這樣的雙向清算,使得市場難以形成單邊趨勢,也讓 XRP 繼續停留在壓縮區間。

同時,永續合約資金費率已回到更接近中性的水平,說明交易員目前並未明顯押注單一方向。文章據此判斷,市場更像是在等待新的催化因素出現。

  • XRP 報價約為 1.05 美元
  • 14 日波動區間明顯收窄
  • 資金費率回歸中性附近

幣安流動性下降放大波動風險

文章也提到,自 6 月中旬以來,幣安現貨市場的 XRP 流動性持續減弱。訂單簿變薄後,即便買賣盤規模不大,也可能帶來更明顯的價格擺盪。

CryptoQuant 也指出,幣安上的 XRP 流動性已處於歷史偏低水準。根據文章說法,這種狀態過去常出現在較大波動之前。

此外,部分交易員正在重新增加槓桿,但整體仍較謹慎。若槓桿回升與流動性偏薄同時存在,一旦價格脫離當前區間,波動幅度可能會進一步放大。

上方關注 1.30 美元

在偏多觀點方面,文章稱,部分分析人士將當前訊號視為 XRP 較強的超賣修復跡象。隨著資金費率轉正、30 日 Z-Score 回到零軸上方,市場買盤興趣有所改善,但投機情緒尚未明顯過熱。

文章認為,低波動、部位中性、流動性減弱和動能改善同時出現,使 XRP 處於較敏感的位置。若多頭重新站上 1.30 美元,市場對突破的預期可能會進一步升溫。

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