Foreign media commentators believe that whether XRP can strengthen again depends not only on the project itself, but also on the regulatory environment and whether ETF funds will return to the crypto market. The article predicts that if the next market uptrend begins, XRP has the potential to approach $5.
It reached a high point after the lawsuit ended.
The article mentions that XRP was under sustained pressure from the end of 2020 to the end of 2024, primarily due to a lawsuit filed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission against Ripple. The regulator accused Ripple of selling unregistered securities, a controversy that dampened market sentiment and limited XRP's performance in the previous cycle.
By 2025, the case had concluded. A U.S. judge ruled that XRP's sales to retail investors were not subject to securities laws, but sales to institutional investors were deemed to fall under relevant regulatory purview. The article argues that this outcome provided XRP with a clearer regulatory position and propelled it to an all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025.
ETFs are seen as a source of support.
Besides regulatory factors, the article also considers ETFs as another support for XRP's future price performance. It states that XRP spot ETFs have been launched since the end of 2025. Although overall attention to such products declines during a bear market, once market risk appetite recovers, ETF inflows could amplify their price-driving effect again.
The article's core argument is that if regulatory clarification and ETF fund inflows occur simultaneously, XRP could potentially reach $5 in the next bull market. However, this assessment is still based on the premise that the overall crypto market re-enters an upward cycle.
Timing still depends on Bitcoin
In terms of timing, the article regards Bitcoin as a major indicator. The logic is that Bitcoin's past cycles have roughly followed a four-year high-point pattern, with peaks occurring in 2017, 2021, and 2025.
Based on this, the article speculates that if this cyclical pattern continues, the next bull market peak may occur in 2029, while market warming may begin around 2027. In other words, whether XRP can reach $5 ultimately depends on the broader market environment, not just the performance of a single asset.
