Reddit业绩超预期后股价下挫,AI搜索冲击引担忧
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Reddit二季度业绩强劲,但AI搜索对导流的影响引发市场担忧,盘后股价跌逾10%。
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Reddit 交出一份好于预期的季度成绩单,但市场关注点很快从业绩转向流量变化。公司在致投资者信中提到,来自搜索引擎的流量增长出现波动,随后盘后股价下跌逾 10%。

二季度业绩仍然强劲

第二季度,Reddit 营收为 8.05 亿美元,同比增长 61%;净利润为 2.53 亿美元,同比增长 183%。公司给出的下一季度营收指引为 8.6 亿至 8.7 亿美元,也高于市场预期。

AI 搜索改变导流结构

投资者担心的核心问题,不是 Reddit 当季盈利能力,而是 AI 正在改写搜索入口。随着 Google 推出 AI 摘要,用户可能直接在搜索结果页获取答案,减少跳转到 Reddit 等内容平台的次数。

Reddit 在 2024 年与 Google 签署协议,向后者提供平台内容用于 AI 训练。但在 AI 搜索加速落地后,这类合作也带来新的疑问:内容授权能否弥补外部流量放缓的影响。

美国用户小幅回落

除搜索导流外,分析师还关注 Reddit 用户增长的结构。公司全球用户仍在增加,但美国市场的日活跃独立用户较上一季度小幅下降,从 5350 万降至 5320 万。

在财报电话会上,有分析师直接指出,投资者担心 Reddit 在美国市场面临用户增长压力。市场的一个判断是,若搜索流量继续向 AI 结果页集中,未登录用户访问可能承压,而把这些用户转化为登录用户也会变得更难。

数据授权前景未明

分析师还追问,Reddit 明年是否还会继续向 Google 和 OpenAI 授权数据。Reddit 首席执行官 Steve Huffman 没有给出明确承诺,只表示公司与 Google 的关系早于正式的数据授权协议,未来会以提升 Reddit 价值为目标作出安排。

Huffman 同时强调,Reddit 的优势仍在于社区和真实讨论。他表示,平台拥有覆盖广泛兴趣的内容,接下来重点是让更多用户更容易发现这些内容。

从结果看,Reddit 这份财报反映出一个更广泛的变化:即使业绩仍在增长,AI 对搜索分发和用户入口的重塑,已经开始影响资本市场对内容平台的估值判断。

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