The market bets that the RBA will raise interest rates in November to combat inflation
2026-08-14 11:53:42
According to CoinMeta, market speculators are increasingly betting that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will raise interest rates again in November to combat inflation levels that exceed the central bank's target. The swap market pricing indicates that there is a roughly 45% probability of an RBA rate hike of 25 basis points by November, up from 38% before the interest rate decision on Tuesday. In the derivatives market of the Australian Securities Exchange, the trading activity of interbank cash rate futures for November 2026 has risen to a level not seen in over three months, indicating increased market speculation. Although policymakers maintained unchanged interest rates this week, traders will continue to pay attention to the upcoming data on prices and the labor market to look for clues as to whether another rate hike may be necessary, as inflation remains above the target range of 2%-3%.
Source:Jin10 Data
This content is for market information only and does not constitute investment advice.
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