According to CoinMeta, a trader increased their holdings by $10 million today, continuing to bet on the likelihood of intensified conflict between the United States and Iran. Since the first tracking on July 30th, the probability that the US will invade Iran before 2027, as predicted by Polymarket, has dropped from about 27.63% to 16.5%. To date, this trader has invested a total of approximately $321,100 in this market prediction, which is a 44% increase from the initial monitoring period. The average cost of their position has decreased to 24.49%, with a current value of about $216,300, resulting in a floating loss of around $104,800. Meanwhile, their HyperLiquid position has expanded from a single long order of about $13.22 million at the time of initial tracking to about $17.606 million. This morning, the trader added another $2.867 million in long orders under WTI and $7.128 million in short positions under XYZ100, and they still hold about $2.664 million in buy orders for crude oil at prices ranging from $79.06 to $81.21.