According to CoinMeta, trader “twoeyes” has bet for four consecutive days that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates in September. From August 22nd to 23rd, they made 149 purchases totaling approximately $113,700, betting that interest rates would remain unchanged in September with a weighted probability of about 68.42% at the time of purchase. This morning, they invested another $10,050 with an average probability of 67%, continuing to bet that there would be no 25-basis-point interest rate hike in September. The total additional investment over these two rounds amounts to about $123,700. As of press time, the probability of “interest rates remaining unchanged in September” is 66.5%, while the probability of “no 25-basis-point interest rate hike in September” is 67.5%. The cost of these two core positions is about $151,200, with a current floating loss of about $4,168. At 4 a.m. today, their associated address established a short position in the NASDAQ index on HyperLiquid, going short on 51.6369 shares of XYZ100 with a full position of 30 times, worth about $1.5108 million, with a floating loss of about $10,800 and a liquidation price of 38,444.8 points. If the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates unchanged in September, these two core prediction positions could result in a total payout of about $220,200, with a maximum profit of about $69,100.