web3: 外媒:8月或成山寨币布局窗口
Coinpedia
07-28 16:13
Ai Focus
外媒称,8 月或仍有回调,但分析师看好 Layer 1、AI、DeFi 与部分 meme 币在下半年表现。
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外媒:在比特币重新站上 6.5 万美元后,加密市场情绪有所修复,但一名分析师认为,8 月仍可能出现新一轮回调。文章称,与其追逐短线波动,不如把注意力放在基本面较强、生态地位明确的项目上,为四季度可能出现的行情做准备。

大型代币仍是优先方向

这名分析师先把重点放在市值较大的主流资产上,认为它们仍有上行空间。

  • 比特币(BTC)目前在 6.5 万美元附近,被视为相对稳健的配置对象。
  • 以太坊(ETH)虽然已离开更低价格区间,但文章认为当前水平仍具长期吸引力。
  • Solana(SOL)则继续被列入重点观察名单,原因是其 Layer 1 生态扩张较快,网络活跃度和市场关注度仍在。

Layer 1 与基础设施项目受关注

除 BTC 和 ETH 外,文章还点名多条公链与基础设施代币。Sui(SUI)被归为 adoption 持续扩大的 Layer 1 项目,Sei(SEI)则被认为在前期回调后估值有所回落。Hedera 的 HBAR 也被提及,理由是代币稀释压力已较此前周期明显减轻。

在基础设施和 DeFi 方向,文章关注的项目包括:

  • Chainlink(LINK),其预言机网络已覆盖多数主流区块链生态;
  • Uniswap(UNI),仍是以太坊生态内最主要的去中心化交易平台之一;
  • Aerodrome(AERO),被视为 Base 生态中的核心 DEX;
  • Ondo Finance(ONDO),继续受益于现实世界资产代币化叙事。

此外,Pump.fun 也被列入观察名单。文章认为,如果 Solana 生态中的 meme 币交易热度回升,这类平台型项目可能同步受益。

AI 代币仍是主要叙事之一

文章认为,人工智能仍会是 2026 年下半年加密市场的重要主题,因此相关代币继续受到关注。

其中,Bittensor(TAO)被视为去中心化 AI 网络中的代表项目,Render(RNDR)则被归入较成熟的 AI 基础设施标的。Virtuals Protocol、Arcblock(ABT)和 Bankr 也被提及,前两者分别对应 AI agent 需求与 AI 工具场景,后者则属于市值更小、波动更高的观察对象。

高波动方向包括隐私币与 meme 币

在风险更高的板块中,文章提到 XRP、Stellar(XLM)、Zcash(ZEC)和 Monero(XMR)。其中,ZEC 与 XMR 被归为隐私币代表,若市场风险偏好回升,可能重新获得资金关注。

meme 币方面,文中列出的项目包括 Pepe、Turbo、Moo Deng、Bonk、Keyboard Cat 和 Doge Inu。文章给出的理由主要是社区基础、较低市值以及代币完全稀释后的供给结构。

整体来看,这是一篇典型的市场观点文章。核心判断是,8 月可能仍有波动,但若下半年市场情绪继续修复,Layer 1、AI、基础设施、DeFi 以及部分高弹性代币,可能成为资金继续关注的方向。

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