web3: Foreign media: AI sucks away liquidity; the crypto market awaits a rate cut to recover
CoinPedia
2h ago
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Foreign media reports that AI has diverted infrastructure financing funds, leading to a slowdown in the activity of the crypto market; GSR believes that if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, market liquidity is expected to recover.
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外媒称,AI 基建融资正在吸走更广泛市场的资金,加密市场也受到拖累,近期交易活跃度与成交表现偏弱。做市商 GSR 市场负责人 Spencer Hallarn 认为,如果 AI 投资热度降温,同时美联储启动降息,资金面可能重新转向加密资产。

AI融资分流市场资金

Hallarn 将当前环境概括为“偏慢的市场”。他表示,加密市场活跃度通常与价格和总市值同步变化,而眼下投资者注意力正被人工智能吸引。大型科技公司为建设 AI 基础设施持续融资,也在更广范围内压缩市场流动性。

他认为,这种影响不只体现在加密资产内部,而是先从整体资金环境收紧开始,再传导到数字资产交易。结果是,市场成交放缓,风险偏好也更谨慎。

项目方更重视对冲与现金管理

在市场走弱后,客户需求也出现变化。Hallarn 表示,越来越多项目方开始把重点放在更长期的预算安排和资金管理上,尤其是需要覆盖美元计价支出的团队,更希望提前锁定资金安全边际。

这推动了场外对冲工具的需求上升。对不少项目来说,核心问题不再只是持有代币,而是如何在币价波动时,仍能保证运营开支不受影响。

代币化热度高,交易量仍有限

Hallarn 还提到,现实世界资产代币化仍是市场关注方向,但现阶段的实际交易活跃度未必足以支撑外界预期。他认为,许多平台仍像彼此隔离的封闭系统,KYC 要求较重,但尚未形成有规模的成交。

在他看来,代币化更大的机会不只是把资产包装成链上代币,而是改造传统银行与清算体系的底层流程。若流动性继续分散在私有平台和另类交易系统之间,市场效率仍会受限。

GSR押注传统金融与加密连接

Hallarn 表示,GSR 正在建设价格数据、交易能力以及连接传统金融与加密市场的基础设施。他认为,做市业务的核心能力可以在加密、商品和证券之间迁移,差别主要来自各市场结构不同。

他还提到,未来部分对冲活动可能从加密现货市场,转向相关股票和期货市场。这意味着流动性提供商需要同时适应更多资产类别。

降息或成下一轮催化

对于后市,Hallarn 对小市值加密资产仍保持谨慎,认为这一板块最终仍要靠实际用例支撑长期价值。不过,他对行业整体并不悲观。

他认为,只要客户仍需要流动性、对冲和执行服务,这一市场的基础需求就没有消失。若后续 AI 融资热度回落,加上美联储降息释放更多流动性,加密市场可能迎来新一轮修复。

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