web3: Foreign media: GSR raises the weight of SOL to 43.6%
Cryptonews
4h ago
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GSR has increased the weight of SOL in the Core3 model to 43.6% and reduced that of BTC to 16.9%. The market is watching to see if there will be a continued over-allocation of Solana in the future.
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外媒称,做市商与加密投资机构 GSR 在 8 月 12 日更新了其 Core3 模型组合,将 Solana 权重上调至 43.6%,使其成为组合中占比最高的资产。同期,以太坊权重降至 39.5%,比特币降至 16.9%。

一周内上调 7.1 个百分点

这次调整与前一周方向相反。此前一期模型曾更偏向比特币,原因是交易活跃度走弱、波动回落。最新更新则显示,GSR 的相对信号重新转向 Solana。

文章提到,GSR 书面评论中曾写出 43.7% 的 SOL 权重,但配套表格显示为 43.6%。报道采用了表格数字。GSR 解释称,这次调仓并非简单依据短期涨跌幅排序,而是基于其内部相对阿尔法信号。

  • SOL 权重为 43.6%
  • ETH 权重降至 39.5%
  • BTC 权重降至 16.9%

短期表现跑赢等权组合

从收益看,Core3 模型近一周回报为 0.85%,近一个月回报为 5.30%,高于等权篮子的 0.59% 和 4.68%。不过,拉长周期后,模型表现仍弱于等权配置。

今年以来,Core3 累计下跌 35.58%,过去一年下跌 70.28%;对应的等权篮子分别下跌 32.22% 和 63.44%。在三种资产中,以太坊仍是近 30 天表现最强的品种,涨幅为 7.88%,但其模型权重本周仍被下调。

波动率方面,GSR 给出的 30 天数据分别为:比特币 26.82%,以太坊 39.75%,Solana 35.26%。文章同时指出,Solana 在 7 天和 30 天两个周期内的交易量都出现放缓,这意味着其权重上升并不是由成交量同步走强推动。

美国市场增加 Solana 投资渠道

报道认为,这次模型转向也出现在美国投资者获取 Solana 敞口渠道扩大的背景下。摩根士丹利投资管理公司此前于 7 月 28 日宣布,在 NYSE Arca 推出 Morgan Stanley Solana Trust,代码为 MSOL,并同步上线一只以太坊产品。

根据披露,MSOL 费率为 0.14%,目标是跟踪 SOL 表现,同时会对部分持仓进行质押。美国证监会相关募资文件显示,该产品在正常市场环境下可将最多 100% 的 SOL 持仓用于质押,但仍需考虑流动性需求以及法律和监管因素。

市场关注下周是否继续超配

由于 GSR 按周发布 Core3 模型,下一次更新将成为观察重点。市场将关注 Solana 的超配是否延续,还是再次回落。

从近期变化看,模型权重调整速度较快。比特币权重曾从 7 月 15 日的 9.2% 升至 8 月 5 日的 19.3%,随后又在 8 月 12 日回落至 16.9%。文章认为,后续仍需重点观察成交量、相对动量和波动率这几项指标。

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