Foreign media: The underappreciated strong performance of European stock markets emerges
CNBC
4h ago
Ai Focus
Foreign media reports that European stock markets have performed steadily this year, and institutions believe that being lagging in AI trading may not necessarily be a bad thing.
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外媒称,欧洲股市今年的表现强于不少投资者预期。尽管市场长期偏好美国股票,欧洲也常被贴上增长慢、科技含量不足的标签,但泛欧 Stoxx 600 指数年内仍上涨约 10%,仅略低于同期标普 500 的 13.5%。

高盛称市场叙事过于单一

CNBC 援引高盛 8 月 10 日的一份报告称,投资者对欧洲市场的印象与实际表现并不完全一致。高盛认为,自 2022 年以来,欧洲银行股的表现明显强于美国“科技七巨头”;而自 2025 年初以来,欧洲股市即便经历关税冲击和能源供应危机,整体表现仍跑赢标普 500。

高盛还反驳了“中国竞争全面压制欧洲企业”的看法。报告称,股市结构并不等同于实体经济结构,欧洲市场中权重较高的金融、医药、科技、能源、公用事业、电信以及航空航天与国防板块,并不特别暴露在中国低价商品竞争之下。

汽车板块拖累明显

欧洲汽车业仍是市场中最弱的一环。过去几年,这一行业持续承受电动车需求放缓、被中国车企抢占份额以及融资成本上升等压力,销量也一直未恢复到疫情前水平。

数据显示,Stoxx 汽车指数今年以来下跌 16%。其中,大众汽车股价下跌 27.6%,Stellantis 跌幅达到 51.9%。不过高盛指出,汽车板块在欧洲股市总市值中的占比仅约 1%,因此对整体指数的拖累有限。

法巴资管:欧洲更像 AI 受益者

法国巴黎银行资产管理认为,欧洲未必会成为 AI 技术开发的核心地区,但更可能成为 AI 应用的受益方,汽车等传统行业也可能从中获益。

法巴资管投资组合经理兼策略师 Sophie Huynh 表示,欧洲部分深度价值板块估值已很低,市场尚未充分讨论其潜在上行空间。她还称,美国消费相关利好已在较大程度上被市场计价,而欧洲经济动能才刚开始改善。

高盛也承认,欧洲在数据中心建设和前沿模型研发等方面落后于美国,这可能影响长期生产率和增长。但该行同时认为,欧洲没有深度卷入 AI 交易,也让当地市场在面对 AI 估值过热或中国竞争风险时,具备一定缓冲作用。

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