Bersenth bonds and yen operations spark speculation on Wall Street
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen expands long-term U.S. debt repurchases and mentions the timing of yen intervention, sparking market speculation about subsequent actions by the Treasury Department.
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美国财长斯科特·贝森特近期连续释放政策信号:一边扩大长期美债回购规模,一边提到月初曾将买入 50 亿至 100 亿美元日元列入待办事项。这组动作让华尔街开始猜测,财政部是否正为更大范围的市场干预做准备。

长期美债回购加码

贝森特本周表示,美国财政部将把长期国债回购规模“至少扩大一倍”,并准备进一步扩大对高成本债务的回购力度。他将这一做法描述为财政整固的一部分,目标是让市场重新关注基本面,而不是在交投清淡时被短期消息带动。

不过,市场反应并不强烈。消息公布后,长期美债价格继续走弱,收益率虽然没有大幅失控,但仍处于偏高水平。多家机构认为,现有回购规模不足以真正压住长端利率。

  • 法巴团队称,措施难抵利率预期上升压力
  • Evelyn Partners 认为干预力度可能仍不够
  • UBS 认为日元回到年初水平并不意外

日元操作引发猜测

在汇率方面,贝森特提到,财政部月初的待办事项包括买入 50 亿至 100 亿美元日元。虽然日元较 6 月低点有所回升,但目前大致已回到年初水平。市场因此质疑,这一操作究竟只是短期动作,还是与更广泛的债券安排有关。

贝森特在接受 CNBC 采访时说,市场掌握的信息并不完整,而财政部拥有“非对称信息”。他还抛出一个问题:财政部为何会选择在那个时点与日方一同干预,以及市场是否低估了财政部在债券市场采取类似“扭转操作”的意愿。

财政部与美联储分工

外界关注的另一点,是贝森特的做法是否与美联储新主席凯文·沃什的思路相冲突。沃什此前曾表示,长端收益率上行本身有助于美联储读取市场信号;他也长期主张减少央行对市场的扭曲,并倾向于继续缩减美联储资产负债表。

从表面看,财政部试图压低长期融资成本,而美联储更愿意让市场自行反映紧缩压力,两者方向并不完全一致。但贝森特表示,如果美联储调整资产负债表,财政部会与其配合,并根据缩表节奏作出调整。

沃什此前在国会也强调,美联储应守住自身职责边界,不应越过独立央行的范围,介入属于财政部或行政部门的事务。这意味着,至少在公开表态上,财政部与美联储仍在强调分工,而不是公开对立。

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