web3: 外媒:馬斯克稱AI或削弱貨幣作用
Coinpaper
07-27 13:52
Ai Focus
外媒稱,馬斯克認為 AI 與機器人可能在 2036 年前顯著削弱傳統貨幣作用,並引發市場對比特幣定位的再討論。
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外媒通報稱,馬斯克近日接受《經濟學人》總編輯 Zanny Minton Beddoes 採訪時表示,隨著 AI 與機器人持續提升生產效率,到 2036 年,貨幣的重要性可能大幅下降。其核心判斷是,當社會能以極低成本提供充足的商品和服務時,人們對傳統貨幣的依賴就會減弱。

2036年的判斷來自“供給充裕”

馬斯克認為,貨幣的主要功能是幫助人們取得食物、住房、交通和娛樂等資源。但如果機器能夠在更大規模上完成生產,並持續壓低成本,稀缺性在部分經濟活動中的作用就會下降。

根據這項設想,AI 和機器人未來可能承擔當前大量由人類完成的工作,並將商品與服務供應推向更高水準。馬斯克也提出,如果系統能提供超越個人實際所需的資源,單純累積財富的意義也會被重新檢視。

比特幣討論隨之升溫

文章稱,這一表態之所以在加密市場引發關注,與馬斯克過去關於「能源與貨幣」的說法有關。他先前曾表示,政府可以繼續增發法幣,但能源本身無法被憑空創造,因此部分加密支持者據此把比特幣視為更接近「能源錨定」的貨幣體系。

不過,馬斯克並未在這次表態中明確將比特幣定義為未來全球貨幣。外媒文章認為,他的判斷更多是圍繞 AI 帶來的生產方式變化,而不是直接為某種加密資產背書。

特斯拉與SpaceX仍被視為觀察點

文章提到,特斯拉和 SpaceX 目前仍持有較大規模的比特幣部位。依文中數據,SpaceX 持有約 18,712 枚比特幣,特斯拉持有約 11,509 枚,若以每枚約 6.5 萬美元計算,兩家公司合計持倉價值接近 20 億美元。

在這一背景下,市場對比特幣的討論出現兩個方向:如果未來商品和服務更易獲得,所有貨幣的需求都可能下降;但如果法幣繼續擴張,而比特幣總量維持 2100 萬枚不變,其稀缺屬性仍可能被部分支持者視為價值儲存工具。

文章同時指出,這項設想仍停留在高度前瞻的階段。要在 2036 年前實現大規模“供給充裕”,仍取決於機器人、AI 基礎設施、能源供應和製造能力是否同步推進。

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