外媒:鲸鱼卖压加重,TAO或再测200美元
AMBCrypto
06-21 21:24
Ai Focus
外媒称,TAO 跌破短中期均线,现货卖压与鲸鱼活跃同步上升,200 美元附近成为短线关键支撑位。
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外媒称,Bittensor 代币 TAO 近期持续承压,自 285 美元一线受阻后,价格已连续 7 天走出更低低点,一度回落至 222 美元附近,接近回吐本月早些时候的涨幅。文章认为,现货市场卖盘占优,加上大额交易活跃,是这轮下跌延续的重要原因。

跌破均线后卖压延续

从技术结构看,TAO 已跌破短期与长期均线。RSI 也出现偏空交叉,并回落至 44,显示短线动能继续转弱。外媒据此判断,TAO 当前仍处在偏弱区间,市场尚未出现明确止跌信号。

现货数据指向卖方主导

AMBCrypto 援引 CryptoQuant 数据称,过去一周,现货平均订单规模上升,说明大额资金参与度提高。但这一指标本身无法直接区分买入还是卖出。

更能反映方向的是 Spot Taker CVD。该指标在同期持续为负,意味着主动卖盘始终占据上风。结合大额订单活跃,文章认为,鲸鱼更可能是在持续卖出,而不是低位承接。

此外,现货买卖量数据也显示,自 6 月 14 日以来,卖出量持续高于买入量,买卖差已连续 7 天为负,进一步说明现货市场抛压并未缓解。

  • 价格此前在 285 美元附近受阻
  • 近期低点已回落至 222 美元
  • 买卖差连续 7 天维持负值

214美元与200美元成短线焦点

文章认为,如果当前卖压延续,TAO 可能先回测 214 美元。一旦跌破这一位置,市场将进一步关注 200 美元这一整数关口。

若 200 美元失守,空头动能可能继续增强,价格存在下探 185 美元的风险。相反,若买盘回升并推动 TAO 重新站上短期 EMA,且收于 248 美元上方,弱势结构才可能被打破,价格才有机会再次上探 280 美元附近。

整体来看,这篇评论文章的核心判断是,TAO 当前下行并非单纯技术回调,现货卖盘与鲸鱼交易同步偏空,使短线走势仍偏弱。

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