外媒:鯨魚賣壓加重,TAO或再測200美元
AMBCrypto
06-21 21:24
Ai Focus
外媒稱,TAO 跌破短中期均線,現貨賣壓與鯨魚活躍同步上升,200 美元附近成為短線關鍵支撐位。
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外媒稱,Bittensor 代幣 TAO 近期持續承壓,自 285 美元一線受阻後,價格已連續 7 天走出更低低點,一度回落至 222 美元附近,接近回吐本月早些時候的漲幅。文章認為,現貨市場賣盤佔優,加上大額交易活躍,是這一輪下跌延續的重要原因。

跌破均線後賣壓延續

從技術結構來看,TAO 已跌破短期與長期均線。 RSI 也出現偏空交叉,並回落至 44,顯示短線動能持續轉弱。外媒據此判斷,TAO 目前仍處在偏弱區間,市場尚未出現明確止跌訊號。

現貨數據指向賣方主導

AMBCrypto 引述 CryptoQuant 數據稱,過去一周,現貨平均訂單規模上升,說明大額資金參與度提高。但這指標本身無法直接區分買入還是賣出。

更能反映方向的是 Spot Taker CVD。此指標在同期持續為負,意味著主動賣盤始終佔上風。結合大額訂單活躍,文章認為,鯨魚更可能持續賣出,而不是低位承接。

此外,現貨買賣量數據也顯示,自 6 月 14 日以來,賣出量持續高於買入量,買賣差已連續 7 天為負,進一步說明現貨市場拋壓並未緩解。

  • 價格此前在 285 美元附近受阻
  • 近期低點已回落至 222 美元
  • 買賣差連續 7 天維持負值

214美元與200美元成短線焦點

文章認為,如果目前賣壓延續,TAO 可能會先回測 214 美元。一旦跌破這一位置,市場將進一步關注 200 美元這一整數關卡。

若 200 美元失守,空頭動能可能繼續增強,價格有下探 185 美元的風險。相反,若買盤回升並推動 TAO 重新站上短期 EMA,且收於 248 美元上方,弱勢結構才可能被打破,價格才有機會再次上探 280 美元附近。

整體來看,這篇評論文章的核心判斷是,TAO 目前下行並非單純技術回調,現貨賣盤與鯨魚交易同步偏空,使短線走勢仍偏弱。

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