web3: Foreign media: Bitcoin is about 659 days away from the next halving, price falls to $63,649
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Foreign media reports that Bitcoin is about 659 days away from its next halving, and the current price has fallen to $63,649 as the market reprices for a new round of halving cycles.
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外媒:比特币新一轮减半周期已进入倒计时。根据 CryptoQuant 分析师 Maartunn 引述的数据,当前网络运行至区块高度 955,108,距离下一次减半触发区块 1,050,000 还剩 94,892 个区块。

减半时间表已基本明确

按比特币网络平均每 10 分钟出一个区块计算,下一次减半大约还有 659 天,约合 1.8 年,时间点大致落在 2028 年春季。届时,矿工区块奖励将从目前的 3.125 BTC 降至 1.5625 BTC。

  • 当前区块高度:955,108
  • 距离减半区块:94,892 个
  • 预计剩余时间:约 659 天

比特币回落至 63649 美元

在减半预期重新进入市场视野的同时,比特币短线表现偏弱。TradingView 图表显示,比特币价格回落至 63,649 美元,并跌破多条均线。

周线 RSI 也降至 39.64。按文中说法,这反映出此前一轮上涨后的市场降温,价格正在新的周期中寻找阶段性支撑。

市场开始提前交易减半预期

文章认为,围绕减半的常见做法,是投资者在供给下降前提前买入,以争取在预期升温前完成布局。但在当前环境下,这一节奏可能被进一步前置。

由于减半规则公开、时间可预估,大型资金可能会更早把未来供给收缩因素计入交易计划。这意味着,传统的“减半前上涨”时间窗口,可能被提前消化,历史节奏也可能因此出现变化。

接下来一年,比特币是否会延续以往减半周期中的价格规律,仍将取决于资金入场节奏以及市场对未来供给变化的定价速度。

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