Foreign media analysis indicates that Alphabet is currently in a state where long-term upward trend coexists with short-term selling pressure. GOOGL closed at $338.46 recently, having fallen below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, but it is still above the 200-day moving average of $326.68, suggesting that the medium to long-term trend has not yet been disrupted. However, the short-term trend has clearly weakened.
Short-term callback pressure increases.
From a daily perspective, the stock price is below the 20-day moving average of $343.38 and the 50-day moving average of $347.86. In contrast, the 200-day moving average still provides support. The article suggests that this is more likely a pullback within an upward trend, rather than a reversal in the long-term structure.
The momentum indicator is also weak. The daily RSI value is 44.82, which is below the neutral level; MACD continues to be in the negative range, indicating that the selling pressure did not appear suddenly but has persisted for several trading days. The position of the Bollinger Bands also shows that the stock price is closer to the lower band of the day, and the short-term bearish trend continues.
Continuing weakness on the hourly level
The signals provided by the 1-hour chart are more direct. The stock price is below the 20-hour, 50-hour, and 200-hour moving averages, forming a typical short-term downward structure. The article argues that this indicates that the daily chart's pullback is not noise, but has been confirmed over a shorter time cycle.
However, the price during trading still lingered near the pivot point, indicating that although the short-term trend is weak, there has been no unilateral slowdown. The 15-minute chart shows that the stock price is in a state of narrow-range consolidation, which more reflects a slowdown in momentum rather than a reversal of the trend.
Divergence in fundamental signals
Apart from technical aspects, the fundamental news surrounding Alphabet is also quite divided. On one hand, Google Cloud's revenue for a single quarter has increased from $20 billion to $25 billion, continuing to strengthen the growth expectations for its AI related business. Berkshire Hathaway has also listed Alphabet as one of its important holdings this year.
On the other hand, billionaire investor Bill Ackman has sold his Alphabet holdings. Meanwhile, the Pentagon continues to maintain restrictions on Anthropic, and foreign media believes this may cause the market to re-evaluate the supply chain risks associated with AI. Recently, Google has launched Gemini 3.8, Flash and Fairwind initiatives in order to maintain its competitive pace in AI.
Key price levels of concern to the market
The article suggests that if the stock price reclaims 339.69 dollars and further rises to 343.38 dollars, the short-term pullback pressure is expected to ease. If it continues to strengthen and breaks through 347.86 dollars, the market's perception of this round of adjustment may shift towards a temporary consolidation phase.
On the contrary, if it falls below $335.86 and continues to decline towards around $334.32, the short-term downward trend will be further confirmed. Overall, foreign media believe that Alphabet is still in a state where the long-term trend is not bad, but the short term is weak. The subsequent trend will depend on whether the price can re-establish itself above the key moving averages, as well as the impact of news related to AI on market sentiment.
