Jupiter推出Forecast,扩展Solana原生预测市场
SolanaFloor
06-05 03:08
Ai Focus
Jupiter 推出 Forecast,试图用 prop AMM 提升 Solana 原生预测市场流动性,首批将上线 15 分钟加密价格市场。
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Jupiter 旗下预测市场产品 Jupiter Predict 发布上线以来最大一次更新,推出原生构建在 Solana 上的新模块 Forecast。该产品希望把 prop AMM 的流动性和成交执行方式引入预测市场,缓解这类产品长期存在的流动性分散问题。

首批上线短周期价格市场

按照 Jupiter 的说法,Forecast 首批将上线 15 分钟加密价格市场,后续再逐步扩展到更多类型的预测合约。Jupiter 联合创始人 Siong Ong 表示,协议在技术上可以创建几乎任何市场,前提是做市方认为存在足够需求。

传统预测市场通常为单一合约配置单独流动性池,非热门事件的深度往往较薄,交易也更容易出现滑点。Forecast 的思路是让交易者直接向多个竞争做市方买入市场份额,而不是只依赖单一池子。

市场或将支持代币化

Jupiter 目前尚未公布完整设计细节,但已暗示单个市场可能会被代币化,以便与更广泛的 DeFi 生态进行组合和流转。这意味着相关头寸未来可能具备更强的可组合性,但具体实现方式仍未披露。

月交易量连续三个月新高

这次更新发布之际,Jupiter Predict 的交易数据也在上升。该产品于 2025 年 10 月上线,进入 2026 年第二季度后,月度交易量已连续三个月创下历史新高。

报道还提到,Solana 生态内其他团队也在准备推出原生预测市场产品。随着更多协议进入这一赛道,Solana 正加快参与由 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 主导的预测市场竞争。

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