According to CoinMeta, the latest trading data from the on-chain prediction market Polymarket as of November 4, 2026, shows that the probability of the Democratic Party controlling both the Senate and the House of Representatives in the “2026 Midterm Elections” contracts has reached 99.6% (with a single-day increase of 24%). This indicates that on-chain funds have almost unanimously determined that the Democratic Party will take complete control of both chambers of Congress, and the market is betting with nearly certain odds that Trump’s administration will suffer a crushing defeat in the midterm elections. Once both chambers of Congress change hands, the policy and legislative progress of crypto may face greater uncertainties, and the crypto business interests of the Trump family will be subject to more scrutiny.