Jupiter推出Forecast,擴展Solana原生預測市場
SolanaFloor
06-05 03:08
Ai Focus
Jupiter 推出 Forecast,試圖以 prop AMM 提升 Solana 原生預測市場流動性,首批將上線 15 分鐘加密價格市場。
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Jupiter 旗下預測市場產品 Jupiter Predict 發布上線以來最大一次更新,推出原生構建在 Solana 上的新模組 Forecast。該產品希望將 prop AMM 的流動性和成交執行方式引入預測市場,並緩解這類產品長期存在的流動性分散問題。

首批上線短週期價格市場

根據 Jupiter 的說法,Forecast 首批將上線 15 分鐘加密價格市場,後續逐步擴展到更多類型的預測合約。 Jupiter 聯合創辦人 Siong Ong 表示,協議在技術上可以創造幾乎任何市場,前提是做市方認為有足夠需求。

傳統預測市場通常為單一合約配置單獨流動性池,非熱門事件的深度往往較薄,交易也更容易出現滑點。 Forecast 的想法是讓交易者直接向多個競爭做市方買入市場份額,而不是只依賴單一池子。

市場或將支持代幣化

Jupiter 目前尚未公佈完整設計細節,但已暗示單一市場可能會被代幣化,以便與更廣泛的 DeFi 生態進行組合和流轉。這意味著相關部位未來可能具備更強的可組合性,但具體實現方式仍未揭露。

月交易量連續三個月新高

這次更新發布之際,Jupiter Predict 的交易數據也在上升。該產品於 2025 年 10 月上線,進入 2026 年第二季後,月度交易量已連續三個月創下歷史新高。

報導也提到,Solana 生態內其他團隊也正在準備推出原生預測市場產品。隨著更多協議進入這條賽道,Solana 正加快參與由 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 主導的預測市場競爭。

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