Jio IPO Winning Probability: Retail subscribers have about a 70% chance of being allocated
Coinpedia
1h ago
Ai Focus
Jio Platforms IPO reports that although the overall subscription multiple is as high as 22.19 times, the probability of retail investors winning a share is significantly higher than this figure suggests. The report states that the 70.55-time subscription by institutional investors will not affect the retail allocation pool; the retail allocation depends on the number of applicants, not the number of shares applied for. Calculated at 12 shares per lot and an issue price of 1,119 rupees per share, each winner will be allocated one lot, worth 13,428 rupees. The retail portion amounts to about 850 million shares, which is approximately 70.86 million lots; if there are about 101 million retail applications, then about 70 out of every 100 applicants will be able to win one lot.
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In Jio Platforms IPO, retail investors have a much greater chance of obtaining shares than what is indicated by the apparent subscription multiple of 22.19 times.

The report indicates that the majority of demand comes from institutional investors, and the fact that institutional investors place orders at 70.55 times the offering price will not affect the retail allocation pool. Whether retail investors will be allocated shares depends on the number of applicants, rather than the number of shares they order.

Each winner will be allocated one lot through a computerized lottery, which is equivalent to 12 shares. Calculated at Rs. 1119 per share, one lot is worth Rs. 13,428.

The retail allocation portion is approximately 850 million shares, which is equivalent to about 70.86 million lots. If the number of retail applications is around 101 million, then about 70 out of every 100 applicants should be able to obtain one lot of the allocation.

The report also states that subscribing for additional lots does not increase the probability of winning a lottery ticket.

In addition, if one subscribes in a separate quota also as a shareholder of Xinshi Industry, the subscription multiple for that portion is 7.6 times. The relevant applicants will effectively have a second chance to be allocated shares, but this portion will be distributed proportionally.

Credit attribution:The above content is from the report on the distribution probabilities of CoinPedia versus Jio Platforms IPO.

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