Japan's GDP in the second quarter grew at an annualized rate of 1.1%, lower than expectations
CNBC
18h ago
Ai Focus
Japan's second-quarter GDP annual growth was 1.1%, falling short of expectations; exports supported the economy, but domestic demand was weak.
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日本第二季度经济继续扩张,但增速低于市场预期。数据显示,当季 GDP 环比增长 0.3%,折合年率增长 1.1%,低于预期的 2%,也低于前一季度的 2.1%。

出口仍是主要支撑

本季度增长主要由出口带动。日本在该季度三个月的出口表现均好于预期,成为经济扩张的主要支柱。

不过,出口改善并不完全来自出货量明显增加。报道指出,日元走弱对出口形成了较大支撑,这意味着相关表现更多受到汇率提振。

  • 二季度 GDP 环比增长 0.3%
  • 折合年率增长 1.1%
  • 市场预期为增长 2%

能源价格拖累内需

这也是首个完整反映伊朗战争影响的季度。能源价格上升,给企业和家庭成本带来压力,拖累了国内需求表现。

与出口相比,日本内需偏弱。中东冲突推高原油价格后,企业经营和居民生活成本上升,成为本季度经济放缓的重要背景。

日本央行小幅上调预期

日本央行本月稍早发布经济活动展望时,将截至 2027 年 3 月的 2026 财年 GDP 增长预期,从 0.5%小幅上调至 0.6%。

央行表示,日本经济预计仍将保持温和增长,但扩张速度会放缓。与此同时,全球 AI 相关需求上升,可能为日本经济提供部分支撑,尤其是半导体供应链相关企业。

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