Fed Meeting Minutes, Baiye's Performance, Major Donors for Midterm Elections, etc.: Morning Brief
CNBC
56m ago
Ai Focus
U.S. stock index futures fell before the opening bell, with the three major indices closing lower on the previous trading day. The market is focusing on the minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting, PepsiCo's earnings, Trump's statements related to Iran that drove up oil prices, as well as news about Microsoft's new hardware and the flow of donations for the U.S. mid-term elections.
Helpful
No.Help

This is the " Morning Squawk " newsletter from CNBC. Click here to subscribe, and in the future, you will be able to receive it directly in your inbox.

Good Thursday. This morning, you can see the newly appointed Co-CEOs of Skydance, David Ellison and Ynon Kreiz, on the program Squawk Box at CNBC. You can watch the live broadcast at CNBC or __BJWKEEP_00007+.

Before the opening of trading, U.S. stock futures declined. The three major indices all closed lower on the previous trading day.

Here are five important things that investors need to know before the start of trading days:

1. When and whether interest rates will be raised

According to the minutes of the September meeting released yesterday, Federal Reserve officials believe that there may be another interest rate hike before the end of this year. However, this document does not specify a particular time when policymakers expect such a hike to occur.

We are also following the following news:

  • A consumer survey by the Federal Reserve of New York shows that inflation expectations for the next 12 months have risen to their highest level since 2023. The survey also indicates that the proportion of households expecting their financial situation to improve in a year is declining.
  • Another report released by the Federal Reserve of New York this week stated that if it weren't for President Trump's tariffs, the prices of many everyday goods would have declined last year and at the beginning of this year.
  • At the same time, Levi Strauss has become the latest company to mention in its financial report that tariff refunds have provided a boost.
  • Yesterday's stable treasury bond auction alleviated some of the market's concerns about rising U.S. Treasury yields. After the auction, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries fell from a 24-year high.
  • Despite the alleviation of pressure from U.S. Treasury yields, the three major indices still ended their consecutive upward trends during trading on Wednesday.
  • Click here to view real-time market updates.

2. Global Growth

PepsiCo announced this morning that its third-quarter results exceeded Wall Street's expectations in both revenue and profit, with net sales growing by 5.6%, as the international market continued to drive the growth of this beverage giant.

As written by Amelia Lucas of CNBC, 41% of PepsiCo's net revenue this year has come from its international operations. On the other hand, its North American beverage division continues to shrink; PepsiCo is pursuing a turnaround plan in the United States that focuses on formula innovation and advertising.

The difficulties of these local businesses are dragging down profits, prompting PepsiCo to lower its full-year earnings forecast with only one quarter left. PepsiCo's CEO, Ramon Laguarta, will give an exclusive interview to CNBC at 10 a.m. Eastern Time. Click here to watch the live broadcast.

3. No discussion on protocols

After Trump stated that he no longer wanted to reach an agreement with Iran, crude oil prices rose by more than 4% this morning. "I don't think that agreement is what I really wanted to achieve, but they were willing to offer anything to prevent it," Trump said at a campaign rally in Texas on Wednesday evening.

Trump's remarks appeared after a report from NBC News. The report stated that he and his team have discussed the possibility of resuming military operations soon. Due to market concerns that hostilities in the Middle East could escalate again, both Brent crude oil futures and US West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures rose this morning.

To alleviate the pressure caused by record-high diesel prices, Trump signed an executive order earlier this week that allows truck drivers to use non-highway diesel on highways without having to pay federal consumption taxes. However, analysts say that this order may ultimately only defer these taxes, rather than completely eliminate them.

4. New hardware

Microsoft and NVIDIA announced yesterday that Microsoft’s new laptops will be equipped with NVIDIA chips, priced at $2,599. Consumers can now place orders for Surface Laptop Ultra, and the product will begin to be shipped next week.

As written by Jordan Novet of CNBC, Microsoft has been working hard to add more artificial intelligence features to its consumer devices. Microsoft also stated yesterday that Meta will launch a proxy version of Muse AI suitable for Windows.

CNBC It has been confirmed that Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella and NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang are both on the list of tech executives expected to be awarded medals by Trump today. Tesla's Elon Musk and Dell's Michael Dell are also on the list, and the event is named “Science: A New Golden Age Summit”.

5. From green to red

According to the analysis of the records of the United States Federal Election Commission (FEC) by CNBC, during this mid-term election cycle, major donors have generally been supporting the Republican Party. Among the 20 largest donors and donor groups, 14 have either fully or almost fully supported Republican candidates or their allied groups.

At the same time, fewer and fewer Democratic donors are contributing money to the Democratic National Committee ( DNC ), preferring to donate directly to candidates. Fundraisers told Luke Fountain of CNBC that Democratic donors have experienced "trauma" from the previous electoral cycle and are also concerned about the growing influence of the leadership of DNC as well as the democratic socialist factions within the party.

FEC Records show that from Labor Day to September 25th, the spending of the conservative Super Political Action Committees (super PAC) on their Democratic counterparts was nearly 2 to 1. The Republicans are making great efforts and spending heavily in hopes of retaining control of Washington, as some once secure districts are now considered to be closely contested.

Daily Dividends

Fasten your seat belts: Wall Street is expecting another season of impressive financial report releases. Here are the changes in analysts' expectations for third-quarter earnings growth since the end of June:

CNBC's Jeff Cox, Jessica Dickler, Laya Neelakandan, Sean Conlon, Amelia Lucas, Anniek Bao, Spencer Kimball, Jordan Novet, Lora Kolodny, Luke Fountain, and Daren Fonda have contributed to this report.

Caleigh Keating assisted in the production of this newsletter. Josephine Rozzelle edited the content of this issue.

Tip
$0
Like
0
Save
0
Views 19
HQYC reminds readers to view blockchain rationally, stay aware of risks, and beware of virtual token issuance and speculation. All content on this site represents market information or related viewpoints only and does not constitute any form of investment advice. If you find sensitive content, please click“Report”,and we will handle it promptly。
Submit
Comment 0
Hot
Latest
No comments yet. Be the first!
Related
NextBlock invests $3 million in Soda Labs to expand blockchain privacy
NextBlock invests $3 million in the seed round of Soda Labs, providing all the funds for that round. Soda Labs is expanding from its current gcEVM privacy layer to chain-agnostic Soda Bubble, with plans to promote privacy computing capabilities to networks such as Ethereum, Polygon, Arbitrum, Base, and Solana, as well as advancing commercial integrations with banks, payment companies, and tokenization platforms.
CoinJournal
·2026-10-08 22:21:39
6
Investors Reminder: Pomerantz Law Firm Reminds Holders of Papa John's International, Inc. Investors with Investment Losses Should Pay Attention to Class Actions and the Approaching Deadline - PZZA
Pomerantz LLP represents that it has already filed a class action on behalf of Papa John's International, Inc. It also reminds investors who were appointed as lead plaintiffs to apply before November 2, 2026. According to the original text, Papa John disclosed on August 6, 2026, that same-store sales in North America had declined by 8.3%, suspended dividend payments, and significantly lowered its performance forecast for 2026, followed by a 17.18% drop in the stock price.
PR Newswire
·2026-10-08 22:12:17
14
Encrypted lending has rebounded, but the attacks on AI and the associated chain risks remain.
Since July, encrypted lending has rebounded by over 55%, with a total locked-up value of approximately $56 billion. However, cross-dependencies between protocols, AI assisted attacks, and human errors continue to increase risks. Institutions such as Aave, Spark, Ledn, and Maple have stated that security audits, asset isolation, and risk mitigation mechanisms are more important than ever.
Cointelegraph
·2026-10-08 22:12:15
15
Investor Notice: Lawyers from Pomerantz Law Firm Represent ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Investors in Investigating and Claiming Compensation
Pomerantz LLP represents ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. ( NASDAQ : ACAD ) The investor investigation focuses on whether the company and some of its executives and/or directors have engaged in securities fraud or other illegal business practices. Previously, on September 24, 2026, Acadia disclosed the results of clinical trials for a drug remlifanserin intended to treat hallucinations and delusions associated with Alzheimer's disease. In these trials, at the dose of 60 mg, the drug "failed to meet" the primary endpoint by a narrow margin, which subsequently led to a two-day decline in the company's stock price.
PR Newswire
·2026-10-08 22:12:12
16
Before a heavy rainstorm, the parking location is also very important.
Mercury Insurance Reminds drivers to pay attention to parking locations before heavy rain and storms, avoiding low-lying areas, under trees, near steep slopes, and areas prone to water accumulation, and suggests checking the coverage of their car insurance before the weather worsens.
PR Newswire
·2026-10-08 22:00:59
14
View More